October 2021 Post Exam Wait Period - Welcome to the Suck

[RBHeadge PE]

so we don't know the first state timing? Why do i remember reading that results generally start at 10am EST?

That may be a CBT thing, so may not translate to the P/P.

Historically the initial release has happened anytime during regular east-coast business hours.

We've only been recording it for a few years. Here's the breakdown:
Apr '18 9:00 AM
Oct '18 12:30 PM
Apr '19 12:00 n
Oct '19 10:00 AM
Oct '20 9:15 AM
Apr '21 11:45 AM

All times eastern, rounded to nearest 15 min.

 

[DLD PE]

Looks like we have a 3-hour-ish window to keep an eye on.

 

[steel]

We've only been recording it for a few years. Here's the breakdown:
Apr '18 9:00 AM
Oct '18 12:30 PM
Apr '19 12:00 n
Oct '19 10:00 AM
Oct '20 9:15 AM
Apr '21 11:45 AM

All times eastern, rounded to nearest 15 min.

Hmmm, I guess PA was 2 hours after initial release in April then when I got my email.

I mean, I'm not complaining. After their historical clusterfuck of giving out passes and then taking them back, 2 hours is heaven for Pennsylvania lol

@RBHeadge PE what year was that again?

 

[meowmeow-what]

No dashboard changes this morning though

 

[RBHeadge PE]

Also, results came out on a Wednesday only 2 of the past 10 exams. Not great odds.

2/10 which is the same as 1/5. So the same odds as picking a random weekeday?

I'm doubling down on my estimate that it will be Monday, Dec. 6 at the latest.

Agree, Monday is at the end of the expected window.

View attachment 26055

Dude, you've got to remove Oct '19 and '20 from the day counts. They are explainable outliers and don't belong in the dataset.

so we don't know the first state timing? Why do i remember reading that results generally start at 10am EST?

9AM ET is the earliest recorded time. I think I remember it happening earlier than that though.

 

[RBHeadge PE]

After their historical clusterfuck of giving out passes and then taking them back, 2 hours is heaven for Pennsylvania lol

@RBHeadge PE what year was that again?

Oct 2014

 

[meowmeow-what]

I mean, I'm not complaining. After their historical clusterfuck of giving out passes and then taking them back, 2 hours is heaven for Pennsylvania lol

^ omg this happened..... ?? i would die

 

[Gocubsgo2123]

No dashboard changes this morning though

how reliable has this “change” been in the past? Does it always happen?

 

[steel]

Dude, you've got to remove Oct '19 and '20 from the day counts. They are explainable outliers and don't belong in the dataset.

I'm just being conservative. Without those two, the averages all come out to 40 days. Which is....holy ****, it's today.

 

[tdeckcox]

I'm just being conservative. Without those two, the averages all come out to 40 days. Which is....holy ****, it's today.

I'd like to direct you to this comment you made:

Alright, RB doesn't usually say this until the day results come out! Today MUST be the day!

Wouldn't surprise me.

 

[DLD PE]

^ omg this happened..... ?? i would die

I can't imagine seeing the "Pass" in green on my dashboard, celebrating, then hours later getting a notification that it was retracted. That would be terrible.

 

[tdeckcox]

I can't imagine seeing the "Pass" in green on my dashboard, celebrating, then hours later getting a notification that it was retracted. That would be terrible.

This happened to me at a much lower stakes, high school mock trial competition and I almost didn't recover so I can't wrap my head around that.

 

[steel]

I'd like to direct you to this comment you made:

It's all coming together!

 

[DLD PE]

Come join the EB Mafia game to get your minds off WTTS!

https://engineerboards.com/threads/eb-mafia.33851/page-1535#post-7772294

 

[Tiger15]

Plot twist: @RBHeadge PE secretly works for NCEES and knows exactly when results will be released but has the self control and the blood oath to never reveal the information.

You're not the first person to suggest this. #ijs

 

[RBHeadge PE]

^ omg this happened..... ?? i would die

https://engineerboards.com/threads/pa-results.24563/Yes. The short version is that they started issuing licenses to basically-everyone regardless of exam result. A few examinees who learned they failed could see themselves with an active license in the Commonwealth license lookup. It was corrected a few days later.

And that's why PA is on the forever naughty list!

To make matters worse, like 10% learned there results by either calling the board or getting an email from PCS within a few days of the general release. The full release wouldn't happen until like a moth later. The PCS contract was cancelled after that, and they haven't had an incident since. But they are still on permanent probation with me.

There was another incident, I can't recall when, but I think Nebraska(?) sent out 'you passed' emails and issued licenses to people. Then they authorized NCEES to release the results and some people saw they failed and were like wtf? The licenses were recalled.

how reliable has this “change” been in the past? Does it always happen?

Something always changes right before the results come out.

Which is....holy ****, it's today.

 

[morphe83 PE]

Look, I feel like people aren't taking me seriously about breaking the spam record.
@morphe83 's daughters swim coach's cousin's coworker's dentist's son's fiance's aunt works at NCEES and she literally said that they won't release results until we get to at least 73,444 spams.

I confirm!

 

[RBHeadge PE]

Gee, I wonder what it what day people would arrive at if they looked a similar calendars; vis-a-vis days elapsed and day of week after Thanksgiving weekend?

 

[mansamusa]

Made a new account to join the spam gang and to try to curve the anxiety that will be seen these upcoming days

 

[RBHeadge PE]

The only caveat is that results never came out before Dec 4. So if that's a limiting factor then it would shift to Dec 6 with this calendar.