^Is that just a guess? or is there reason behind it?
I would think the Rose would try to get a Stanford-Wisconsin game since it would be a traditional PAC10/BIG10 matchup.
And I think the Fiesta gets last pick since Glendale has the NCG, so it would probably have the WVU (or UConn/Big East) vs. TCU
and, what happens when a 3 or 4 loss Big East or ACC team takes it to TCU in the bowl game? Then does the BCS auto bids from the Big 6 conferences still look attractive?
it will be interesting.
It's a guess, but based on tradition and some chatter that I picked up off of SportsCenter. Everybody says that Stanford has a great team this year, and they will likely win whichever game they end up in. But the team doesn't travel well, so they aren't expected to get picked by the bowls that get first pick. The Rose Bowl will have the option of Stanford or TCU, and all signs point to them taking TCU.
The Orange Bowl will get the ACC champ, and their choice of the Big East champ or Stanford. If the Rose Bowl doesn't think Stanford will travel well to Pasadena, they sure as hell won't travel well to Miami.
The Sugar Bowl gets the SEC champ, or in this case, 2nd in SEC since the champ will go to the NCG. They then get their pick of what's left. I expect that to either be Oklahoma or Ohio State. Again, they'll have a crack at Stanford, but that produces the same issues. Given Ohio State's track record in BCS bowls, I would expect them to take Oklahoma.
As you pointed out, the Fiesta Bowl gets what is left...Ohio State and Stanford.