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YES

:bananalama:

 
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Cut score guess = 70% = 0.7*80 = 56 points to win

Morning session, I think I blasted 32/40 with 100% probability. In the remaining eight, about half I had a very good idea, and the other half were just guesses. I work in nuclear, so let's make a conservative assumption and say I did as well as random guessing on the final eight. Morning = 32 + 0.25*8 = 32 + 2 = 34.

56 - 34 = 22 points to win

Afternoon session, I think I blasted 15/40 with 100% probability. In the remaining 25, about 10 I had a very good idea, and the other 15 were just guesses. Still following conservative methodology, let's say I again only did as well as random guessing on the final 25. Afternoon = 15 + 0.25*25 = 15 + 6 = 21.

34 + 21 = 55. OH MY GOD I FAILED BY ONE. **** **** ****.

 
Cut score guess = 70% = 0.7*80 = 56 points to win

Morning session, I think I blasted 32/40 with 100% probability. In the remaining eight, about half I had a very good idea, and the other half were just guesses. I work in nuclear, so let's make a conservative assumption and say I did as well as random guessing on the final eight. Morning = 32 + 0.25*8 = 32 + 2 = 34.

56 - 34 = 22 points to win

Afternoon session, I think I blasted 15/40 with 100% probability. In the remaining 25, about 10 I had a very good idea, and the other 15 were just guesses. Still following conservative methodology, let's say I again only did as well as random guessing on the final 25. Afternoon = 15 + 0.25*25 = 15 + 6 = 21.

34 + 21 = 55. OH MY GOD I FAILED BY ONE. **** **** ****.
less cut score, more spam

 
See but this is how we do nuclear. In that calc, my conclusion would be pretty simple.

"The examinee is estimated to have answered only 55 correctly. The minimum correct answers for competency is 56. However, as outlined above, several conservative assumptions were used in estimating the correct answers. Therefore, by engineering judgment, the examinee has passed the exam."

 
Seriously, we ******* build and modify nuclear plants with this ****.

 
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