It's typical strategy for some in PMs to have someone else pose as the cop or doc in order to allow the real one to hide from the mafia. My point is, I trust @MeowMeow PE when they say they're the cop.
EB Mafia
- Thread starter ChebyshevII PE PMP
- Start date
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And because I'm somewhat paying attention...
@BlueBlueprintPE I vote @Spitfire6532 in retaliation for the time being. If more information comes to light I'll potentially switch my vote
@BlueBlueprintPE I vote @Spitfire6532 in retaliation for the time being. If more information comes to light I'll potentially switch my vote
@BlueBlueprintPE I change my vote to @ChebyshevII PE for voting for a confirmed townie.
blybrook PE
Veteran 10k Spammer
I'm about to go into a NCSEA webinar, looks like I've got a few posts to read through when it's over. This is turning into an interesting day...
beccabun PE
Sneaky mofo
Early in the sense that the mafia has only taken out one non-mafia. The chances that they took out the doctor with their one NK are too slim. A seasoned doc with little other info (particularly in a non-PM round) would probably protect RBH, and a seasoned mafia member would know to target another player.
Work in progress:
Townie++++ @RBHeadge PE, @MeowMeow PE, @txjennah PE ,@Spitfire6532 , @vhab49_PE
Townie+++
Townie++ @Dothracki PE,
Townie+ @DLD PE, @eng_girl95, @blybrook PE
Neutral @ChebyshevII PE,
Mafia+@beccabun PE
IDK @EyehatethePEexam PE
Notes:
bly, on day 1 elected not to create a threeway tie. Which had effect of providing some town utility. Would have been a negative utility move for mafia, implies he is town.
dld, second vote for chart (+)
doth, cast final tying vote for chart (++) which ensured (at least) 2/3 chance of lynching maf.
becca, pointed out square's tell (+), didn't vote for square (-), didn't vote for maf on the Thr or Fri (-)
eyehate chart voted for him (+), chart voted for him out of self preservation (-), voted for chart(+), did so out of self preservation (-), voted or MP (+), but did so out of self preservation (-), voted out of self preservation for two mafia - math says this is a push, but gut gives (+), flawed game theory on day 1(-)
jean, points out eyehates flawed game theory (+)
eg95, her vote change from eyehate to chart was indirectly a vote for MP(+)
No additional useful voting information can be gleaned from Friday's vote given the cop/doc revelation.
In my mind it's down to three potential players: cheb, eyehate, becca
Cheb has not accumulated any positive or negative utility. Eyehate has gained a lot of positive and negative utility that appears to be a wash. becca has net negative utility.
Townie++++ @RBHeadge PE, @MeowMeow PE, @txjennah PE ,@Spitfire6532 , @vhab49_PE
Townie+++
Townie++ @Dothracki PE,
Townie+ @DLD PE, @eng_girl95, @blybrook PE
Neutral @ChebyshevII PE,
Mafia+@beccabun PE
IDK @EyehatethePEexam PE
Notes:
bly, on day 1 elected not to create a threeway tie. Which had effect of providing some town utility. Would have been a negative utility move for mafia, implies he is town.
dld, second vote for chart (+)
doth, cast final tying vote for chart (++) which ensured (at least) 2/3 chance of lynching maf.
becca, pointed out square's tell (+), didn't vote for square (-), didn't vote for maf on the Thr or Fri (-)
eyehate chart voted for him (+), chart voted for him out of self preservation (-), voted for chart(+), did so out of self preservation (-), voted or MP (+), but did so out of self preservation (-), voted out of self preservation for two mafia - math says this is a push, but gut gives (+), flawed game theory on day 1(-)
jean, points out eyehates flawed game theory (+)
eg95, her vote change from eyehate to chart was indirectly a vote for MP(+)
No additional useful voting information can be gleaned from Friday's vote given the cop/doc revelation.
In my mind it's down to three potential players: cheb, eyehate, becca
Cheb has not accumulated any positive or negative utility. Eyehate has gained a lot of positive and negative utility that appears to be a wash. becca has net negative utility.
Seems like the safe route would be to go with the one that has the most negative?
@BlueBlueprintPE I don't actually want to vote for @DLD PE , so please switch my vote to @beccabun PE
@BlueBlueprintPE I don't actually want to vote for @DLD PE , so please switch my vote to @beccabun PE
beccabun PE
Sneaky mofo
If RBHs analysis does me in today, then I hope I'm the only townie taken out and you guys can win the game tomorrow. One accidental townie elimination is pretty good for this large of a round.
beccabun PE
Sneaky mofo
@BlueBlueprintPE I vote for @EyehatethePEexam PE
steel
Well-known member
Please nobody accuse me of saying something earlier in the game that I never said.
thank you.
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It was night 3. Not that early. I usually get nk'd on night 3 or 4. By that point it typically doesn't matter if I survive because I've already done enough damage to the mafia and the doctor has better saves.
OTOH it makes sense to continue to protect me this long in a no-pm and death=silence round. I hadn't thought about that utility until just now.
yep.
The cop cleared spitfire.
Sorry.
I haven't actually figured out who I'm going to vote for yet. The math isn't that solid on your alignment. hence narrowing it down to three candidates. The math is more supportive of other players being townies so this is more of a POE thing.
I think social cues are a valid tool here too. which aren't my strongpoint and aren't included above.
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steel
Well-known member
Why? I'm not allowed to reveal that I was a regular townie? I said they way earlier in the game that i was a regular townie. I'm not altering gameplay with this statement.
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Except that you certainly can be altering gameplay with the statement. I’d recommend editing it immediately.
Eng_Girl95
Well-known member
steel
Well-known member
By saying I'm townie? I said I was townie when i was alive, not saying anything different lol
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You could be giving away the position of another player…….
Eng_Girl95
Well-known member
Wait, I’m confused? When a player says they were a townie, how would that reveal someone’s role?
he didn’t reveal who the cop, doc, or Cassandra was. We still don’t know who the Cassandra was and you already revealed the cop and doc?
why don’t I understand this?
There's no issue with revealing a role if you're still in play. But if I got NK'd, I can't be announcing to the thread what my role was. It takes the mystery away of which special roles are still in play.Wait, I’m confused? When a player says they were a townie, how would that reveal someone’s role?
he didn’t reveal who the cop, doc, or Cassandra was. We still don’t know who the Cassandra was and you already revealed the cop and doc?
why don’t I understand this?
beccabun PE
Sneaky mofo
I assumed that targeting @RBHeadge PE was a rookie move and this confirms it.
@BlueBlueprintPE I vote for @eng_girl95
