What do you think the pass rates will be for October 2016?

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vermonter

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Take a guess at what the pass rates will be for October 2016 exams

Will we see any pass rates exceed 90% for first timers? How about below 40%?

 
they should count the scores for the "no shows" to help the curve....if there is one. 

 
does the winner get a couple of bonus points towards their finals score on the exam?

 
I think the pass rates will be much lower due to the amount of new people taking it because of decoupling of the exams. Expecting 50% pass rates in a lot of subjects for first time test takers (certain subjects which regularly get below this anyway-- nuclear, petroleum, software...etc will have 40% or less pass rates).

Repeated test takers will have similar pass rates for exams with a large pool of test takers and very wildly different pass rates for exams with a small pool of test takers.

 
I think the pass rates will be much lower due to the amount of new people taking it because of decoupling of the exams. Expecting 50% pass rates in a lot of subjects for first time test takers (certain subjects which regularly get below this anyway-- nuclear, petroleum, software...etc will have 40% or less pass rates).

Repeated test takers will have similar pass rates for exams with a large pool of test takers and very wildly different pass rates for exams with a small pool of test takers.
I was actually thinking decoupling may increase the pass rate because a lot of the repeat test takers I know are people who have been out of school 8+ years and who have forgotten a lot of the theoretical content and are only strong in the area(s) they work. I think there's a certain amount of the fundamentals that you have to be familiar with or carry over.

 
I think the pass rates will be much lower due to the amount of new people taking it because of decoupling of the exams. Expecting 50% pass rates in a lot of subjects for first time test takers (certain subjects which regularly get below this anyway-- nuclear, petroleum, software...etc will have 40% or less pass rates).

Repeated test takers will have similar pass rates for exams with a large pool of test takers and very wildly different pass rates for exams with a small pool of test takers.
Hey @tryandtryagain, I see you took the dreaded petroleum test this year again. I did too...missed it narrowly last year and I don't know what to expect this go around. I honestly think it was tougher this year even though I felt better prepared. Do you think the decoupling thing in TX will help lower the cut score?

 
Hey @tryandtryagain, I see you took the dreaded petroleum test this year again. I did too...missed it narrowly last year and I don't know what to expect this go around. I honestly think it was tougher this year even though I felt better prepared. Do you think the decoupling thing in TX will help lower the cut score?
No I think the cute score will remain the same since I have heard they base it on how well actual existing PE's taking the exam score on it.

The exam I took this year was about as hard (and random) as the one I failed last year-- so we will see...  

 
^^^ "cute score" LOL
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^^^ "cute score" LOL
LOL..I think we really need the cute cut score this year :) . I agree there were too many random and obscure questions...especially the endless conceptual problems. The test format has totally changed in recent years from what I heard and petroleum being so broad makes the test a nightmare. I know the conceptual questions are necessary to an extent but they don't have to be 60+% of the test! Wasted so much time checking references that I had to totally guess on a few questions on both the AM & PM. Hoping for the best...

 
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