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  1. RBHeadge PE

    EB Mafia

    Scenario 2 is only viable for the town if we collectively decide that we 100% trust eyehate. Scenario 1 works best if collectively feel that eyehate is most likely mafia. A new scenario 3, assumes that the cassandra is "out of visions" and involves the town just picking the most likely mafia...
  2. RBHeadge PE

    EB Mafia

    You more-or-less have the correct read on this situation. This breaks down to the classical "prisoner's dilemma" game theory problem.
  3. RBHeadge PE

    EB Mafia

    Alright, so if that the case, then if we lynch meow or spit, then eyehate can report back the identity of the other shortly after lynch. But, and this is a big but, we're relying on eyehate being truthful in their announcement. A mafia cassandra would announce the remaining player is mafia...
  4. RBHeadge PE

    EB Mafia

    The Cassandra can only reveal the roles of potenitally four players. Spitfire, meow, the deceased doctor, and themselves. I'm not even sure the last one is possible (can we please get a ruling @DLD PE ) Quick event tree map: 1) We lynch eyehate tonight. 1a) eyehate is mafia -> town win 1b)...
  5. RBHeadge PE

    EB Mafia

    Okay, I'm stuck in a meeting which I don't need to attend. A few random thoughts: On the night of the no-nightkill there were two mafia remaining: Nole and last mafia. Nole learned he passed the PE earlier that day so he was probably celebrating and distracted. Spit was not online that...
  6. RBHeadge PE

    EB Mafia

    Never say that I'm unwilling to admit when I was wrong. I goofed. My mistake was thinking that the Cassandra was activated on the first day (Monday) and not the second day (Tuesday). And that mistake has carried through with all of may analysis this round. It's why I missed that the Cassandra...
  7. RBHeadge PE

    EB Mafia

    Thanks. For reason I thought the Cassandra was activated on that Monday. @DLD PE I temporarily retract my vote for @EyehatethePEexam PE while I recompile and reconsider all of the available evidence.
  8. RBHeadge PE

    EB Mafia

    @DLD PE When would the first Cassandra vision have occurred this round? Would it have been Monday night into Tuesday, or Tuesday night into Wednesday?
  9. RBHeadge PE

    EB Mafia

    Don't feel bad. You picked up on eyehate as the Cassandra early; and last night noticed that the cop died the night of the corresponding vision. That was enough to put it all together into a cohesive package.
  10. RBHeadge PE

    EB Mafia

    @DLD PE I vote for @EyehatethePEexam PE
  11. RBHeadge PE

    EB Mafia

    Reposting with updates.
  12. RBHeadge PE

    EB Mafia

    Yep, now it all fits: This was Tuesday night at 9:47 pm. The bolded covers both the Monday night and Tuesday night visions. Recall that square was lynched at the end of the day Monday. This post was made after the lynch. It would have put a mafia in a tough spot to to make that announcement...
  13. RBHeadge PE

    EB Mafia

    The story almost checks out. Clear-ish announcements can be found for all purported visions from Tuesday night-into Wednesday though overnight tonight" The vision for the first night is potentially more camouflaged.
  14. RBHeadge PE

    EB Mafia

    What was your vision on Monday night into Tuesday?
  15. RBHeadge PE

    EB Mafia

    @MeowMeow PE If you have something to share then now is the time to share it.
  16. RBHeadge PE

    EB Mafia

    @DLD PE. I vote for @EyehatethePEexam PE
  17. RBHeadge PE

    EB Mafia

    It doesn't. You and dld regularly post those tables regardless of alignment during the rounds. As presented above it's just neutral information.
  18. RBHeadge PE

    EB Mafia

    On day 2 there was a tie among many many players. Eventually square lost. Selected noted: nole (maf) voted for chart (?) | first vote of the day square (maf) voted for tjx (town) nikr (maf) voted for no one eyehate (?) voted for nikr (maf) | second vote of the day chart(?) voted for no one
  19. RBHeadge PE

    EB Mafia

    not sure if this is forethought or a joke :unsure:
  20. RBHeadge PE

    Horse is to stable

    ruler
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