EB Mafia

[Spitfire6532]

@BlueBlueprintPE I currently withdraw my vote for @ChebyshevII PE for the time being. Curious to see what our cop's final investigation reveals.

Logistics question, will we know the cops investigation result today? Or would that information not be given out until tomorrow?

 

[BlueBlueprintPE PMP]

Logistics question, will we know the cops investigation result today? Or would that information not be given out until tomorrow?

all investigations to date have been revealed. the cop has one investigation remaining for tomorrow.

 

[FlangeheadPEAZ]

 

[FlangeheadPEAZ]

 

[Eng_Girl95]

@eng_girl95

View attachment 27097

Okay, hounding me isn’t gonna get me to tell you, even if I actually had a reason.

All I know is Becca didn’t vote for Eye, chart, or MP on day 2 and didn’t vote for chart of MP on day 3.

 

[DLD PE]

Okay, hounding me isn’t gonna get me to tell you, even if I actually had a reason.

All I know is Becca didn’t vote for Eye, chart, or MP on day 2 and didn’t vote for chart of MP on day 3.

Why would @beccabun PE vote for @chart94 on Day 3? Chart was already dead (lynched on Day 2).

 

[blybrook PE]

Geeze, attend a webinar for CEU's and rejoin the thread to find a real cluster.... Didn't expect things to be so sideways.

@steelnole15 had a bold post about my alignment the day after the Cassandra was activated. This was taken by several to mean he was the Cassandra, I have to believe this is why he was targeted for the night kill.

I have not seen any other post that might have been from the Cassandra with a clear declaration of anyone's alignment. We'll get clarification on this after the round is over from @BlueBlueprintPE. I have not gone back through the posts and votes to determine if anyone other than @MadamPirate PE voted for themselves which would've been the Cassandra voting for themselves (again, maybe @BlueBlueprintPE tracked this behind the scenes and we just don't know).

I am assuming that there were 4 mafia members to begin with. The town has cleared out 3 of them so far, and in record time if I recall correctly. With that in mind...

I have to think the attempt on @RBHeadge PE was out of self preservation of the last mafia member. RBH has been a solid member in all the rounds I've played and read through. Taking him out would have helped the remaining member remain hidden with the lack of additional reads or thoughts from a very strong player (for the unaware, we did attempt to have him as our representative in the national / world mafia rounds a year or so ago, but work got in the way for full time participation).

In the case of this no PM round, it caused both the Doc and Cop to announce themselves after the save (I'm going to believe that their posts are accurate and not a mafia ploy). This could be detrimental to the town as it gives the remaining mafia member clear targets. We know that the cop has one investigation left per the recent post by @BlueBlueprintPE and @MeowMeow PE.

I think that the mafia has had some issues getting player involvement. There was no night kill the first night, likely due to work or other issues preventing participation. I get it, real life is more important than game.

Not everyone voted the first few days, just look at the spreadsheet provided by @steelnole15 or the analysis by @RBHeadge PE. This is also typical in rounds with a large number of players. However, it also creates suspicion against the more inactive players as the round progresses.

@BlueBlueprintPE current vote is for @beccabun PE pending further information.

 

[BlueBlueprintPE PMP]

Includes vote retractions and updates... I think I captured it all.

x1 @eng_girl95 (becca)
x4 @beccabun PE (cheb, eg, eye, txj, Bly)
x1 @ChebyshevII PE (dld, spit)

 

[RBHeadge PE]

@BlueBlueprintPE Do the mafia need a simple majority or a true majority to produce a nightkill?

i.e. on night one, would they have needed 2/3 votes for a target or 1 vote and 2 abstentions?

 

[squaretaper LIT AF PE]

 

[BlueBlueprintPE PMP]

@BlueBlueprintPE Do the mafia need a simple majority or a true majority to produce a nightkill?

i.e. on night one, would they have needed 2/3 votes for a target or 1 vote and 2 abstentions?

the rules require at least 2 votes for a nightkill, unless only 1 mafia remained.

 

[BlueBlueprintPE PMP]

also ...

 

[Eye Hate Landscaping PE]

Work in progress:

Townie++++ @RBHeadge PE, @MeowMeow PE, @txjennah PE ,@Spitfire6532 , @vhab49_PE
Townie+++
Townie++ @Dothracki PE,
Townie+ @DLD PE, @eng_girl95, @blybrook PE
Neutral @ChebyshevII PE,
Mafia+@beccabun PE
IDK @EyehatethePEexam PE

Notes:
bly, on day 1 elected not to create a threeway tie. Which had effect of providing some town utility. Would have been a negative utility move for mafia, implies he is town.
dld, second vote for chart (+)
doth, cast final tying vote for chart (++) which ensured (at least) 2/3 chance of lynching maf.
becca, pointed out square's tell (+), didn't vote for square (-), didn't vote for maf on the Thr or Fri (-)
eyehate chart voted for him (+), chart voted for him out of self preservation (-), voted for chart(+), did so out of self preservation (-), voted or MP (+), but did so out of self preservation (-), voted out of self preservation for two mafia - math says this is a push, but gut gives (+), flawed game theory on day 1(-)
jean, points out eyehates flawed game theory (+)
eg95, her vote change from eyehate to chart was indirectly a vote for MP(+)
No additional useful voting information can be gleaned from Friday's vote given the cop/doc revelation.

In my mind it's down to three potential players: cheb, eyehate, becca
Cheb has not accumulated any positive or negative utility. Eyehate has gained a lot of positive and negative utility that appears to be a wash. becca has net negative utility.

I'm a shotgun blast of utility!

Work and personal life are exhausting right now, I'm putting no analytical effort into the game beyond initial reactions when I read posts. Don't count on me for much other than snark.

 

[Eye Hate Landscaping PE]

Please nobody accuse me of saying something earlier in the game that I never said.

​

thank you.​

You said the right twix was better than the left twix and you're not getting off the hook for it.

 

[FlangeheadPEAZ]

How much can a NPC talk lol

 

[Tiger15]

Includes vote retractions and updates... I think I captured it all.

x1 @eng_girl95 (becca)
x4 @beccabun PE (cheb, eg, eye, txj, Bly)
x1 @ChebyshevII PE (dld, spit)

Hm... I thought I voted, but I can't find it. Maybe I never posted it.

@BlueBlueprintPE I vote for @ChebyshevII PE

 

[BlueBlueprintPE PMP]

x1 @eng_girl95 (becca)
x4 @beccabun PE (cheb, eg, eye, txj, Bly)
x2 @ChebyshevII PE (dld, spit, jp)

 

[Eng_Girl95]

@BlueBlueprintPE Could I please cast my vote again for @beccabun PE

 

[BlueBlueprintPE PMP]

@BlueBlueprintPE Could I please cast my vote again for @beccabun PE

since you asked so nicely ...

x1 @eng_girl95 (becca)
x5 @beccabun PE (cheb, eg, eye, txj, Bly)
x2 @ChebyshevII PE (dld, spit, jp)

 

[MeowMeow PE]

@BlueBlueprintPE I guess I vote for @beccabun PE